*The full survey report is available for download via the form below.

How do Ukrainians see the future of their country in 2050 — a special survey by Gradus Research

According to a new survey conducted by Gradus Research, Ukrainians are optimistic about the future of their country. The survey found that 85% of respondents believe in the end of the war by 2050, 75% believe in access to fast and convenient public services, and more than half (57%) believe that the living standards in Ukraine will improve. What other predictions do Ukrainians make about the future?

Ukrainians believe in ending the war by 2050 and attracting investment

One of the most important findings of the survey is that 85% of Ukrainians believe that the war will end by 2050. Despite the current uncertainty, this confidence is a testament to the considerable strength of the Ukrainian spirit. Optimism about the end of hostilities is crucial for the country's recovery and is a key factor in shaping long-term plans both at the level of individuals and the state as a whole.

There is also optimism about attracting foreign investment for economic development. 72% of Ukrainians believe that by 2050 the country will be able to attract foreign investment, as it is an important source for economic recovery, job creation, innovation, and economic growth. Expectations for investment reflect the desire of citizens to improve their quality of life and economic stability through integration into global markets and international partnerships.

Democratic values remain central to the vision of Ukraine's future

Ukrainians want to see a country that continues to adhere to democratic standards, even decades from now. 66% of respondents believe that in 2050, Ukraine will retain democratic principles. This demonstrates the deep awareness of Ukrainian society of the importance of political freedom and citizens' rights, as well as the desire of Ukrainians to live in a free, independent country where the rule of law and human rights are ensured.

Skepticism about the high level of trust in the state and the fight against corruption

Despite the general optimism, only 43% of respondents expect a high level of trust in the state in 2050. This figure reflects certain concerns, while the issue of trust in state institutions is important for social cohesion and civil society's support for public policy.

At the same time, only 39% of respondents believe that Ukraine will be able to reduce the level of corruption by 2050. Nevertheless, fighting corruption is seen as a key step to ensure the country's stable development, improve the quality of life, and attract foreign investment.

Significant concerns about war, uncertainty, and depopulation

The top 3 fears of Ukrainians are the continuation of hostilities (26%), uncertainty of the future (18%), and the threat of a demographic crisis (12%). Depopulation caused by migration, low birth rates, and the effects of war is a serious concern, as population size directly affects economic capacity and development. The return of migrants and the creation of conditions for higher birth rates are seen as necessary to maintain a stable population.

The habit of planning has returned to pre-war levels, but the planning horizon remains short

Prolonged war and instability have forced people to live in a mode of uncertainty without making long-term plans. The study shows that most Ukrainians plan their lives for a short period of time, from a few months to a year. And the prolonged need for short-term planning affects the psychological state and the ability of citizens to invest in the future.

"The results of our survey show that Ukrainians, despite all the challenges, look to the future with hope based on real endurance and a desire for change. Most see their country as peaceful, democratic, and developed by 2050, although they recognize the need to address key social and economic issues. This confidence in the future demonstrates the ability of society to remain resilient and support each other even in the most difficult times,” comments Evgeniya Blyznyuk, sociologist, CEO&Founder of Gradus Research.

The survey was conducted by Gradus Research using a self-administered questionnaire in the Gradus mobile application. The sample reflects the population structure of cities with more than 50 thousand inhabitants aged 18-60 by gender, age, settlement size, and region, excluding the temporarily occupied territories and territories of active hostilities. The period of the field: November 4-5, 2024. Sample size: 1250 respondents.

The full survey report is available for download via the form below.